Protracted Urban Warfare Feared in Israel Amid Escalating Conflict with Hamas
The situation in Israel continues to intensify as the conflict with Hamas shows no signs of abating. Experts are concerned that this war could evolve into a protracted urban warfare, similar to the events that unfolded in Lebanon in the 1980s. This development could have dire consequences, leading to a higher number of casualties and blurring the lines between civilians and combatants.
Foreign policy expert Alexander Gillespie, a law professor at Waikato University, warns that if Israeli forces enter Gaza City, a densely populated urban environment, it could play into the hands of Hamas. By forcing Israel into an urban setting, Hamas aims to minimize the military advantages of the Israeli forces. This tactic highlights the challenges of urban warfare and the difficulty in distinguishing between civilians and combatants, which ultimately leads to an increase in the number of casualties.
Gillespie also points out that war crimes are being committed on both sides of the conflict. Executions, hostage-taking, and indiscriminate bombardment of opposition territory are all violations of international law. Additionally, the possibility of a disproportionate response from Israel, particularly in an urban built-up area, could exacerbate the situation and lead to further war crimes.
The consequences of this conflict reach beyond the borders of Israel. The recent progress in diplomatic relations between Israel and certain countries in the Middle East could be compromised, potentially undoing the normalization process. Moreover, there is a risk of the conflict expanding beyond the immediate region, with Iran known to support Israel’s enemies. In response, the United States has dispatched a carrier force to the Gulf, reflecting the gravity of the situation.
These developments highlight the growing global uncertainty and the need for countries like New Zealand to carefully consider their foreign policy positions. Gillespie emphasizes the importance of cross-partisan agreement and proactive decision-making in the face of evolving geopolitical challenges. The situation in Ukraine serves as an example, with New Zealand offering support to the country without being directly involved in the conflict with Russia. As the risks to countries like New Zealand increase, politicians must be prepared to make difficult choices in the interest of national security.
In conclusion, the conflict between Israel and Hamas is becoming increasingly concerning, with the potential for protracted urban warfare looming. The violation of international law, growing diplomatic repercussions, and the risk of regional escalation highlight the need for strong and thoughtful foreign policy decision-making. It is crucial for countries to navigate these complex global issues and prioritize national security in an ever-changing geopolitical landscape.
For a comprehensive discussion on the Israel-Palestine conflict, tune in to the latest episode of The Front Page podcast.
