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Analysis suggests Donald Trump is poised for a convincing victory over Ron DeSantis in the Republican presidential primary for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Recent polls indicate that Trump is likely to win most states, sealing a major lead in the race. While DeSantis currently leads in fundraising, he has faced criticism for a controversial video questioning Trump’s LGBTQ+ ties.
According to a comprehensive analysis by polling website Race to the WH, Donald Trump is in a robust position to secure the Republican presidential primary over Ron DeSantis. The model, which considers factors such as sample size, freshness, and perceived reliability, takes into account recent polls and is regularly updated.
Trump and DeSantis are considered the frontrunners for the GOP’s 2024 presidential nomination, but Trump holds a significant lead. Unless the Republican field consolidates, DeSantis is projected to win only one state – his home state of Florida – with a tied race in Utah. On the other hand, Trump is forecasted to secure decisive or narrow victories in all 48 remaining states. The model predicts that Trump would gather 1,774 delegates, well above the 1,234 required to secure the nomination. DeSantis is expected to win 440 delegates, while former Vice President Mike Pence would receive 10.
In an alternative scenario where only Trump and DeSantis remain after the Nevada primary, DeSantis is projected to secure decisive wins in Wisconsin and Utah, as well as a narrow victory in Tennessee. Trump’s dominance would extend to the remaining 47 states, including Florida. In this case, Trump is expected to secure 2,048 delegates, while DeSantis would receive 406 delegates, and Pence only two.
Despite Trump’s lead in the polls, DeSantis has managed to raise a substantial amount of campaign funds, surpassing both Trump’s campaign and affiliated political action committee. Reports from Fox News indicate that DeSantis and the Never Back Down political action committee have raised $150 million, while Trump’s campaign has raised $35 million.
However, DeSantis has faced criticism for a video shared by the DeSantis War Room Twitter account, which is associated with his campaign. In the video, DeSantis questioned Trump’s LGBTQ+ ties, referring to him as a pioneer in injecting gender ideology into the mainstream. DeSantis, though, has stood by his statements during an appearance on conservative influencer Tomi Lahren’s OutKick show.
It is important to note that this information is based on a hypothetical model and should be seen as speculation rather than definitive predictions. Political dynamics are subject to rapid change, and various factors can influence the outcome of an election.
In conclusion, analysis indicates that Donald Trump is currently the frontrunner in the Republican presidential primary, with Ron DeSantis trailing behind. While DeSantis has a fundraising advantage, his controversial video criticizing Trump’s LGBTQ+ ties has attracted criticism. However, it is crucial to recognize that political landscapes can change rapidly, and the outcome of the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election remains uncertain.
